Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 16.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Ceara win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
