Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
