Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
