Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 49.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Santos had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
