Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
