Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gremio in this match.
