Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
