Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
