Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.38%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
