Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Oct 24, 2023 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional
1 - 3
Maldonado
FT(HT: 1-1)
de Leon Aristegui (40', 61'), Spinelli (85')
Fernandez (8'), Cayetano (33'), de Leon Aristegui (62'),
Cartagena (66'), Alfaro (82')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Deportivo Maldonado.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.06%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Nacional | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
65.92% ( 0.75) | 21.62% ( -0.23) | 12.46% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 40.1% ( -0.72) |
| 45.25% ( -0.17) | 54.75% ( 0.17) |
| 23.93% ( -0.14) | 76.06% ( 0.14) |
| 84.08% ( 0.19) | 15.92% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.82% ( 0.35) | 45.17% ( -0.35) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| 47.69% ( -0.97) | 52.31% ( 0.97) |
