SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Nacional |
26.74% ( -0.38) | 27.2% ( -0.01) | 46.06% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 46.91% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.15% ( -0.17) | 57.85% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.43% ( -0.13) | 78.57% ( 0.13) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% ( -0.41) | 37.38% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.83% ( -0.41) | 74.16% ( 0.41) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 0.12) | 25.09% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.21% ( 0.16) | 59.79% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.72% Total : 26.74% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 46.05% |
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