Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
-0.17) 
0.33) 
