SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 10.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.67%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
69.53% ( 1.88) | 19.87% ( -0.73) | 10.6% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 39.36% ( -1.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% ( 0.1) | 52.4% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( 0.09) | 74.09% ( -0.09) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( 0.62) | 14% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.47% ( 1.2) | 41.54% ( -1.2) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.77% ( -2.07) | 54.23% ( 2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.58% ( -1.31) | 87.42% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 14.92% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 14.67% ( 0.58)3-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.58)2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.38)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.03% Total : 69.51% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.4% Total : 19.88% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.73% Total : 10.6% |
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