Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jun 17, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional
4 - 0
Maldonado
FT(HT: 1-0)
Darias (20'),
Cantera (45+4'), Reyes (45+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Deportivo Maldonado.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 62.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result |
| Nacional | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
62.89% ( 0.39) | 22.16% ( -0.21) | 14.94% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 44.63% ( 0.18) |
| 47.88% ( 0.47) | 52.12% ( -0.47) |
| 26.16% ( 0.41) | 73.84% ( -0.4) |
| 83.97% ( 0.29) | 16.03% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.62% ( 0.53) | 45.38% ( -0.53) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| 53.15% ( 0.03) | 46.85% ( -0.03) |
