SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro Largo |
39.19% ( -0.16) | 28.98% ( 0.02) | 31.83% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.91% ( -0.02) | 62.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.19% ( -0.02) | 81.8% ( 0.02) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.11) | 30.83% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.89% ( -0.13) | 67.11% ( 0.13) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.3% ( 0.1) | 35.7% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.53% ( 0.1) | 72.47% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.18% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 31.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PenarolPenarol | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | NacionalNacional | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 25 |
| 4 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | River PlateRiver Plate | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 | Montevideo City TorqueTorque | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | La Luz | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
| 13 | DanubioDanubio | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 14 |
| 14 | Boston RiverBoston River | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | CerroCerro | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
| 16 | FenixFenix | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 12 |
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