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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Apr 1, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Maldonado
2 - 0
Fenix
Cantera (16'), Fernandez (41')
Piriz (80'), Cotugno (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Requena (70')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Fenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 4-0 Maldonado
Saturday, March 25 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 0-0 Boston River
Sunday, March 26 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawFenix
36.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 28.79% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 35.11% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.47% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.9% (0.052 0.05)61.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.93% (0.040999999999997 0.04)81.07% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (0.067999999999998 0.07)32.25% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (0.074999999999999 0.07)68.74% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.47% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 36.09%
    Fenix 35.11%
    Draw 28.78%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawFenix
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.09%
1-1 @ 13.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.78%
0-1 @ 11.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Danubio 4-0 Maldonado
Saturday, March 25 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Nacional
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Maldonado
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Maldonado
Sunday, March 5 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-0 Maldonado
Friday, March 3 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Maldonado 3-2 Boston River
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 0-0 Boston River
Sunday, March 26 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 2-0 Fenix
Monday, March 20 at 10.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 0-1 Racing
Sunday, March 12 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 3-1 Fenix
Monday, March 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Fenix
Monday, February 20 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
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Uruguayan Primera Division Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol15104125111434
2NacionalNacional1475224111326
3Defensor SportingDefensor1567227141325
4Cerro Largo156721310325
5Montevideo WanderersWanderers156541612423
6LiverpoolLiverpool156542419520
7River PlateRiver Plate155551719-220
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado155551823-520
9La Luz155462327-418
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque143561520-516
11DanubioDanubio153662019115
12Racing de MontevideoRacing143651316-315
13Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia144371424-1015
14Boston RiverBoston River142571422-814
15CerroCerro142751216-413
16FenixFenix153391123-1212
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