SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | River Plate |
39.69% ( 0.25) | 29.01% ( -0.02) | 31.29% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 44.23% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.67% ( 0.01) | 62.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.02% ( 0.01) | 81.98% ( -0.01) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( 0.15) | 30.65% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( 0.18) | 66.9% ( -0.18) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( -0.16) | 36.22% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.99% ( -0.16) | 73.01% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.35% Total : 39.69% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 4% ( -0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.01% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 31.29% |
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