SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 76.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 8.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
76.99% ( -0.37) | 14.89% ( 0.23) | 8.12% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.59% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.76% ( -0.6) | 38.23% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.49% ( -0.65) | 60.51% ( 0.64) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.81% ( -0.22) | 8.19% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.31% ( -0.56) | 28.69% ( 0.56) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.65% ( -0.08) | 50.35% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.1% ( -0.05) | 84.9% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.22% Total : 76.96% | 1-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 14.89% | 0-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 8.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 65 | 31 | 34 | 57 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 55 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 48 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 32 |
| 12 | SivassporSivasspor | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 31 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 29 |
| 14 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 28 |
| 15 | GaziantepGaziantep | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 25 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 24 |
| 17 | Istanbulspor | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 24 |
| 18 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 53 | -34 | 23 |
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