SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
56.35% ( -0.27) | 24.93% ( 0.04) | 18.71% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 44.14% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.23% ( 0.13) | 56.77% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.29% ( 0.1) | 77.71% ( -0.1) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% ( -0.05) | 20.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.62% ( -0.09) | 52.38% ( 0.09) |
| AEK Larnaca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.26% ( 0.35) | 44.74% ( -0.35) |
