SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Gaziantep | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Fenerbahce | 5 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Trabzonspor | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Kasimpasa | 7 | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Giresunspor | 6 | -3 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 12.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Alanyaspor |
69.69% ( -0.12) | 18.15% ( 0.2) | 12.15% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.74% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.83% ( -1.16) | 41.17% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( -1.19) | 63.56% ( 1.19) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.33% ( -0.35) | 10.67% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.45% ( -0.78) | 34.54% ( 0.78) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.68% ( -0.89) | 44.31% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.62% ( -0.73) | 80.38% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.4)2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.09% Total : 69.69% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.89% Total : 18.15% | 0-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 25 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 19 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 61 | 26 | 35 | 54 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 45 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 41 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 41 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 35 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 31 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 28 |
| 11 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 28 |
| 12 | SivassporSivasspor | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
| 13 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | GaziantepGaziantep | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 25 |
| 15 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
| 17 | Giresunspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 23 |
| 18 | Hatayspor | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 44 | -25 | 23 |
| 19 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 22 |
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