SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Gaziantep | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 13.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for an Adana Demirspor win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Adana Demirspor |
67.56% ( -0.51) | 19.41% ( 0.15) | 13.02% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 48.09% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.25% ( 0.17) | 44.75% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.89% ( 0.17) | 67.11% ( -0.18) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.74% ( -0.1) | 12.26% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.01% ( -0.19) | 37.98% ( 0.18) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.8% ( 0.67) | 45.19% ( -0.68) |
