SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Hatayspor | 38 | -4 | 53 |
| 13 | Galatasaray | 38 | -2 | 52 |
| 14 | Kayserispor | 38 | -7 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Fatih Karagumruk | 38 | -5 | 57 |
| 9 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 13 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 2 | 54 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Adana Demirspor |
44.6% ( -0.08) | 24.02% ( 0.04) | 31.38% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.59% ( -0.18) | 42.41% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.18% ( -0.18) | 64.81% ( 0.18) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.11) | 19.23% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.06% ( -0.18) | 50.93% ( 0.18) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( -0.07) | 25.99% ( 0.06) |
