Derby encounters can be cagey affairs, and we expect that to be the case on Sunday, but with Fenerbahce hunting down a Champions League place, we think that their quality will shine through to give them the all-important victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Galatasaray had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Galatasaray win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
