SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Konyaspor | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Galatasaray | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Kayserispor | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 77.52%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 7.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fenerbahce in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Kayserispor |
77.52% ( 0.54) | 14.7% ( -0.22) | 7.79% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 44.64% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.43% ( -0.13) | 38.57% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.13% ( -0.13) | 60.87% ( 0.14) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.85% ( 0.09) | 8.15% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.41% ( 0.23) | 28.59% ( -0.22) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.6% ( -0.87) | 51.4% ( 0.87) |
