SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Fatih Karagumruk | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Kayserispor | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Besiktas | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Giresunspor | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Giresunspor |
52.91% ( -0.58) | 24.83% ( 0.19) | 22.26% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% ( -0.35) | 52.5% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% ( -0.3) | 74.17% ( 0.3) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.18% ( -0.37) | 19.81% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.11% ( -0.6) | 51.89% ( 0.6) |
| Giresunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.52% ( 0.19) | 38.48% ( -0.19) |
