SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 38 | 10 | 53 |
| 12 | Hatayspor | 38 | -4 | 53 |
| 13 | Galatasaray | 38 | -2 | 52 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Gaziantep | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 38 | -6 | 45 |
| 17 | Caykur Rizespor | 38 | -27 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Giresunspor |
51.54% ( 0.67) | 24.39% ( 0.05) | 24.07% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( -0.88) | 48.99% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( -0.8) | 71.07% ( 0.8) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.07) | 19% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.45% ( -0.12) | 50.54% ( 0.12) |
| Giresunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( -1.11) | 34.85% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.41% ( -1.19) | 71.58% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Giresunspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 68 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 37 | 32 | 63 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 49 |
| 8 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 68 | 58 | 10 | 44 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | SivassporSivasspor | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 37 |
| 12 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 13 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 28 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 27 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 68 | -49 | 23 |
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