SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizan win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Partizan | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
41.49% ( 0.03) | 25.94% ( -0.11) | 32.57% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.73% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.49% ( 0.48) | 50.51% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.57% ( 0.43) | 72.43% ( -0.42) |
| Partizan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( 0.23) | 24.1% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.6% ( 0.33) | 58.4% ( -0.33) |
| AEK Larnaca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.79% ( 0.29) | 29.21% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.84% ( 0.36) | 65.16% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partizan | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.48% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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