SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Kasimpasa | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Sivasspor | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 5 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Fatih Karagumruk | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor | 4 | -6 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 53.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sivasspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
53.03% ( 2.27) | 24.55% ( -0.67) | 22.42% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.78% ( 1.15) | 51.22% ( -1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% ( 1) | 73.06% ( -1) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( 1.38) | 19.27% ( -1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49% ( 2.22) | 51% ( -2.21) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.4% ( -0.85) | 37.6% ( 0.86) |
