SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Hatayspor | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Fatih Karagumruk | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Istanbulspor | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | Ankaragucu | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Umraniyespor | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Ankaragucu |
47.05% ( -0.04) | 24.81% ( 0.01) | 28.14% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( -0.04) | 47.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( -0.04) | 69.87% ( 0.04) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% ( -0.03) | 20.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.31% ( -0.06) | 52.69% ( 0.05) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( -0) | 30.85% ( -0) |
