SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ternana | Draw | SPAL |
46.46% ( -0.4) | 25.98% ( -0.3) | 27.57% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( 1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( 1.58) | 52.82% ( -1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( 1.33) | 74.44% ( -1.33) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( 0.49) | 22.71% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.62% ( 0.72) | 56.38% ( -0.71) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% ( 1.41) | 33.99% ( -1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.32% ( 1.49) | 70.68% ( -1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ternana | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.09% Total : 46.45% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.49)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 63 |
| 2 | Genoa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 59 |
| 3 | BariBari | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 31 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 52 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Pisa | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Parma | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | RegginaReggina | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 42 |
| 9 | Palermo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Ternana | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 40 |
| 11 | Como | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | AscoliAscoli | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Modena | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 38 |
| 14 | VeneziaVenezia | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 36 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 35 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 35 |
| 17 | Perugia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
| 18 | SPALSPAL | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | BeneventoBenevento | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 |
| 20 | Brescia | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 28 |
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