SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ternana | Draw | Genoa |
40.43% ( 0.01) | 28.04% ( 0) | 31.53% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.98% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.05% ( -0.02) | 58.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.57% ( -0.02) | 79.43% ( 0.01) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( -0) | 28.56% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.64% ( -0) | 64.36% ( 0) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( -0.02) | 34.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.07% ( -0.02) | 70.93% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ternana | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.7% Total : 40.42% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 31.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 62 |
| 2 | Genoa | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 53 |
| 3 | BariBari | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 50 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 48 |
| 5 | Pisa | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | RegginaReggina | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Parma | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 41 |
| 9 | Palermo | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
| 10 | Modena | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Como | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | AscoliAscoli | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Ternana | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 35 |
| 15 | Perugia | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 30 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
| 17 | BeneventoBenevento | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 29 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
| 20 | Brescia | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 28 |
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