SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benevento | Draw | Ternana |
54.38% ( -0.05) | 23.27% ( 0.01) | 22.35% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.98% ( -0.01) | 46.02% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% ( -0.01) | 68.33% ( 0) |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% ( -0.02) | 16.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.19% ( -0.03) | 46.81% ( 0.03) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.24% ( 0.03) | 34.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.51% ( 0.03) | 71.5% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benevento | Draw | Ternana |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.38% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
| 2 | BariBari | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 49 |
| 3 | Genoa | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Pisa | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | RegginaReggina | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Parma | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Palermo | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Ternana | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 | Modena | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Como | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 35 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 30 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 | SPALSPAL | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 28 |
| 18 | BeneventoBenevento | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 28 |
| 19 | Brescia | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 27 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 26 |
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