SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.51%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Genoa |
33.35% ( 0.03) | 29.43% ( 0) | 37.22% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.54% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.63% ( 0.01) | 63.38% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.26% ( 0.01) | 82.74% ( -0) |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.7% ( 0.03) | 35.3% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.94% ( 0.03) | 72.06% ( -0.02) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( -0.02) | 32.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.74% ( -0.02) | 69.26% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 33.35% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.42% | 0-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
| 2 | Genoa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | BariBari | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Pisa | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | RegginaReggina | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Parma | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Palermo | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Ternana | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 | Modena | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Como | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 35 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 30 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 | SPALSPAL | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 28 |
| 18 | BeneventoBenevento | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 28 |
| 19 | Brescia | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 27 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 26 |
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