SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
53.15% ( 0.19) | 25.46% ( -0.08) | 21.39% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.26% ( 0.16) | 55.73% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( 0.13) | 76.87% ( -0.13) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( 0.14) | 21% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.22% ( 0.23) | 53.78% ( -0.23) |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.81% ( -0.03) | 41.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.27% ( -0.03) | 77.72% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| SPAL | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.13% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 21.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 62 |
| 2 | Genoa | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 53 |
| 3 | BariBari | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 50 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 48 |
| 5 | Pisa | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | RegginaReggina | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Parma | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 41 |
| 9 | Palermo | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
| 10 | Modena | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Como | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | AscoliAscoli | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Ternana | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 35 |
| 15 | Perugia | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 30 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
| 17 | BeneventoBenevento | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 29 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
| 20 | Brescia | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 28 |
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