Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
