Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
