Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
