Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
