Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
