SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Monza | 38 | 22 | 67 |
| 4 | Pisa | 38 | 13 | 67 |
| 5 | Brescia | 38 | 20 | 66 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Ascoli | 38 | 10 | 65 |
| 7 | Benevento | 38 | 23 | 63 |
| 8 | Frosinone | 38 | 13 | 58 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pisa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pisa | Draw | Benevento |
43.7% ( 1.73) | 27.13% ( -0.12) | 29.17% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 48.6% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.59% ( -0.13) | 56.41% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% ( -0.11) | 77.42% ( 0.11) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( 0.84) | 25.63% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.48% ( 1.13) | 60.52% ( -1.12) |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% ( -1.26) | 34.65% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.62% ( -1.36) | 71.38% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pisa | Draw | Benevento |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.7% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.19% Total : 29.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 62 |
| 2 | Genoa | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | SudtirolSudtirol | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | BariBari | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Pisa | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 45 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 42 |
| 8 | Palermo | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 |
| 9 | Parma | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
| 10 | Como | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Modena | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 38 |
| 12 | AscoliAscoli | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 36 |
| 13 | Ternana | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | Perugia | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 33 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 32 |
| 18 | BeneventoBenevento | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 29 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 28 |
| 20 | Brescia | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 28 |
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