SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | SPAL |
51.01% ( -0.01) | 25.04% ( -0) | 23.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.27% ( 0.01) | 51.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.5% ( 0.01) | 73.49% ( -0.01) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( -0) | 20.28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.36% ( -0) | 52.64% ( -0) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.54% ( 0.02) | 36.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.76% ( 0.02) | 73.24% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 9.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 5% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 51% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 23.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
| 2 | BariBari | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 49 |
| 3 | Genoa | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Pisa | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | RegginaReggina | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Parma | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Palermo | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Ternana | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 | Modena | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Como | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 35 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 30 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 | SPALSPAL | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 28 |
| 18 | BeneventoBenevento | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 28 |
| 19 | Brescia | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 27 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 26 |
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