Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Ternana.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.
