SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ternana | Draw | Ascoli |
34.85% ( -0.19) | 27.37% ( -0.03) | 37.78% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 49.68% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.11% ( 0.1) | 55.89% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23% ( 0.09) | 77% ( -0.08) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( -0.07) | 30.41% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.39% ( -0.08) | 66.61% ( 0.09) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( 0.18) | 28.62% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.58% ( 0.23) | 64.42% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ternana | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 55 |
| 2 | Genoa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | BariBari | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | RegginaReggina | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 42 |
| 5 | SudtirolSudtirol | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 41 |
| 6 | Pisa | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 38 |
| 7 | Parma | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | CagliariCagliari | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Palermo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | Modena | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 35 |
| 11 | Ternana | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | AscoliAscoli | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 | Cittadella | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Como | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Perugia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 29 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
| 17 | BeneventoBenevento | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 27 |
| 18 | SPALSPAL | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | Brescia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 25 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 23 |
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