SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 16.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Ternana |
61.5% ( 5.6) | 21.83% ( -1.68) | 16.68% ( -3.92) |
| Both teams to score 49.36% ( -1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( 1.26) | 47.78% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( 1.15) | 69.97% ( -1.15) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.97% ( 2.35) | 15.03% ( -2.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.49% ( 4.27) | 43.51% ( -4.27) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.09% ( -3.73) | 41.91% ( 3.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.65% ( -3.42) | 78.35% ( 3.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Ternana |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 11.31% ( 1.16)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.15% ( 1.22)3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.51)4-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.79)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.45)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.38)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.34% Total : 61.49% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.79) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.43)Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.91) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.87)0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.69)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.42)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.27)Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
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