SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 46.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sudtirol | Draw | Frosinone |
26.12% ( 0.08) | 27.8% ( 0.11) | 46.07% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 44.83% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.73% ( -0.32) | 60.27% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.56% ( -0.25) | 80.44% ( 0.25) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% ( -0.11) | 39.26% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.03% ( -0.1) | 75.97% ( 0.1) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( -0.24) | 26.18% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.73% ( -0.32) | 61.27% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudtirol | Draw | Frosinone |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.12% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 13.77% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 46.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 68 |
| 2 | Genoa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 66 |
| 3 | BariBari | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 50 | 30 | 20 | 57 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 53 |
| 5 | Parma | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 51 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Pisa | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | RegginaReggina | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Modena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 | Palermo | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
| 12 | Ternana | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 | Como | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 | VeneziaVenezia | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 38 |
| 16 | Cittadella | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 37 |
| 17 | Perugia | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 35 |
| 18 | Brescia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 35 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 34 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 30 |
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