SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Bari had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Frosinone in this match.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Bari |
53.04% ( -0.03) | 26.28% ( -0.01) | 20.67% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.75% ( 0.08) | 59.25% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.34% ( 0.07) | 79.66% ( -0.07) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( 0.02) | 22.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.94% ( 0.03) | 56.05% ( -0.03) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.02% ( 0.1) | 43.97% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.9% ( 0.08) | 80.1% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 14.75% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 53.03% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
| 2 | Genoa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | BariBari | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Pisa | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | RegginaReggina | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Parma | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Palermo | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | Ternana | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 | Modena | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Como | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 35 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 30 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 | SPALSPAL | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 28 |
| 18 | BeneventoBenevento | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 28 |
| 19 | Brescia | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 27 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 26 |
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