SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 22.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Ascoli |
52.72% ( -0.08) | 24.95% ( 0.03) | 22.33% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.06% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.1% ( -0.08) | 52.9% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( -0.07) | 74.5% ( 0.07) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -0.06) | 20.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.73% ( -0.1) | 52.26% ( 0.1) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.36% ( -0) | 38.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.62% | 75.37% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bari | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 52.71% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 22.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
| 2 | BariBari | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 49 |
| 3 | Genoa | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Pisa | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | RegginaReggina | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Parma | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Palermo | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Ternana | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 | Modena | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Como | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 35 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 30 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 | SPALSPAL | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 28 |
| 18 | BeneventoBenevento | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 28 |
| 19 | Brescia | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 27 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 26 |
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