SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Reggina | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Cosenza Calcio | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Ternana | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Como | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Pisa | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Como had a probability of 11.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Como |
67.96% ( 0.55) | 20.14% ( -0.36) | 11.9% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 42.58% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( 0.95) | 50.38% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( 0.84) | 72.31% ( -0.84) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( 0.47) | 13.85% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.77% ( 0.92) | 41.22% ( -0.93) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.42% ( 0.25) | 50.57% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.94% ( 0.17) | 85.05% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 13.68% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.33% Total : 67.94% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.14% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.28% Total : 11.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 13 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Genoa | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 40 |
| 3 | RegginaReggina | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 39 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 38 |
| 5 | BariBari | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 36 |
| 6 | Palermo | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 34 |
| 7 | Parma | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Ternana | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | CagliariCagliari | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Pisa | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 31 |
| 11 | Modena | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 31 |
| 12 | Cittadella | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 27 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 14 | Perugia | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Como | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Brescia | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 25 |
| 17 | SPALSPAL | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | VeneziaVenezia | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
| 19 | BeneventoBenevento | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 23 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 22 |
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