SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Frosinone in this match.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Perugia |
64.73% ( 0) | 21.71% ( -0.25) | 13.56% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 42.66% ( 1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% ( 1.4) | 52.92% ( -1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% ( 1.18) | 74.53% ( -1.19) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( 0.48) | 15.69% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.24% ( 0.88) | 44.76% ( -0.88) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.6% ( 1.25) | 49.39% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.76% ( 0.86) | 84.23% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Perugia |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 13.29% ( -0.3)2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.85% Total : 64.72% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 13.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 63 |
| 2 | Genoa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 59 |
| 3 | BariBari | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 31 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 52 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Pisa | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Parma | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | RegginaReggina | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 42 |
| 9 | Palermo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Ternana | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 40 |
| 11 | Como | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | AscoliAscoli | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Modena | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 38 |
| 14 | VeneziaVenezia | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 36 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 35 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 35 |
| 17 | Perugia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
| 18 | SPALSPAL | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | BeneventoBenevento | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 |
| 20 | Brescia | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 28 |
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