SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reggina | Draw | Perugia |
49.65% ( -0.14) | 26.51% ( 0.01) | 23.84% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.33% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.67% ( 0.04) | 57.34% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% ( 0.04) | 78.17% ( -0.03) |
| Reggina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( -0.04) | 23.18% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.93% ( -0.06) | 57.07% ( 0.07) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.32% ( 0.14) | 39.68% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.64% ( 0.13) | 76.36% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reggina | Draw | Perugia |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.64% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 63 |
| 2 | Genoa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 59 |
| 3 | BariBari | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 31 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 52 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Pisa | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 31 | 14 | 3 | 14 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 45 |
| 8 | Parma | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Palermo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Ternana | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 40 |
| 11 | Modena | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Como | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 39 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 39 |
| 14 | VeneziaVenezia | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 36 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 36 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 35 |
| 17 | Perugia | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 34 |
| 18 | SPALSPAL | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | BeneventoBenevento | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 |
| 20 | Brescia | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 28 |
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